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Research topic guide

Activity and the calendar

How much of a monthly change comes from the calendar being compared?

All tracked instruction activity changed −4.8% across the July and August 2026 calendar months, but +1.6% after standardising their weekday composition.

Figure 1

Calendar months and a standardised week give different comparisons

August versus July 2026. Percentage change in eligible instruction activity.

Activity change (%) · bars extend from zero

Figure data and source fields
Calendar months and a standardised week give different comparisons. Activity change (%).
ObservationActivity change (%)Published source field
All instructions · calendar months−4.8%features.0.values.raw_total_activity_pct_change
All instructions · standard week+1.6%features.0.values.standardised_total_activity_pct_change
Entries · calendar months+8.1%features.0.values.raw_entry_activity_pct_change
Entries · standard week+16.0%features.0.values.standardised_entry_activity_pct_change

Source: PineConnector Pulse, August 2026 Monthly Bulletin. Instruction-weighted.Download data (CSV): Calendar months and a standardised week give different comparisons

Read the raw and standardised views together

The August bulletin compares complete source-calendar months and a standardised week. The raw view describes what arrived during each month. The standardised view gives each weekday equal representation across the comparison. They answer different questions, and neither should silently replace the other.

A calendar correction can change the conclusion

Total activity fell across the calendar months but rose in the standardised comparison. Entry activity rose in both views. A single headline about activity being quieter would miss that distinction. For system monitoring, compare like command families and retain the calendar basis alongside each observation.

What this evidence can establish

This is a monthly descriptive comparison. It does not isolate a response to a scheduled economic release or explain why activity changed. The source time zone is unconfirmed, so these monthly findings cannot identify a release-hour response. Two months also cannot establish a persistent pattern.

Read the evidence

Source scope

July comparisons use the August release’s consistent eligibility rules. They can differ from the separately published July bulletin. These are source-calendar months; the source time zone is unconfirmed.

Registered measurement limits
  • trading frequency, activity level, or number of trades
  • whether positions were opened or managed at the broker